Medium Range Malaria Forecast Suggests a Possibility of Malaria Epidemics in Areas of Southern Africa, 23/11/98

Health ministers and health agencies are to work with WHO in emergency epidemic preparedness activities to minimize the natural disasters impact throughout Southern Africa.

Anticipating The Malaria Problem
The ministries of health within Southern Africa, in collaboration with its partners, the World Health Organisation have issued a medium range malaria forecast which predicts climatic conditions this rain season which will be favourable for malaria transmission.  The result may well be an increase in malaria transmission and malaria epidemics throughout Southern Africa.

At risk countries and districts are currently being identified, notified and are taking steps to prepare a response for the forth coming malaria season.  (February 1999 – May 1999).  Activities include the establishment of emergency stocks of medical supplies and chemical insecticides, the use of satellite field clinics and substantial public awareness campaigns.

Partners for Action
Various multilateral, bilateral agencies and NGOs (Donor Community) are being approached to assist in these preparedness measures which will save lives, avoid crisis management and reduce the impact and cost of the malaria epidemic on the affected countries.

Malaria South Epidemic Update
Malaria South Epidemics Update is the start of the public and professional awareness campaign, increasing knowledge of this natural potential disaster throughout Southern Africa.  It is a tool for decision-makers and a means for Malaria South Epidemic Update is the start of the public and professional awareness campaign, increasing conveying a message.  A copy of this update (see attatched) is being disseminated throughout Southern Africa.

The effects of malaria epidemic spread like a bush-fire unlike the malaria effects associated with malaria endemic areas.  Epidemics are the result of malaria cases substantially exceeding the local capacity to cope.  This often results in the overload of health systems throughout the area and places all health system users at risk.

It is time to move now.  The various ministries are looking to prepare themselves for the coming malaria season.  With the support of the various international agencies, funds can be mobilized to support these activities.  All too often, response efforts are that of crisis management, costly and short term solutions.  Preparedness activities demonstrate strategic planning and professional forethought.  Planning allows the manger scope to breath when they make decisions for treatment and allows for a more efficient and effective response.

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